- 【政治経済】令和床屋談義 町の噂その759
353 ：日出づる処の名無し[sage]：2020/09/24(木) 04:20:39.22 ID:x8VRSlwH - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-tumbles-more-than-400-points-as-stock-market-hits-session-lows-in-wednesday-afternoon-sell-off-2020-09-23?mod=mw_latestnews
Dow tumbles over 500 points and S&P 500 stares down first correction since
March as stock market hits session low
Published: Sept. 23, 2020 at 3:05 p.m. ET By Mark DeCambre
Dow 26,777.44 -510.74 -1.87%
S&P 500 3,245.12 -70.45 -2.12%
Nasdaq 10,665.88 -297.76 -2.72%
GlobalDow 2,924.99 -34.41 -1.16%
Gold 1,860.60 -47.00 -2.46%
| - 【政治経済】令和床屋談義 町の噂その759
354 ：日出づる処の名無し[sage]：2020/09/24(木) 04:25:56.62 ID:x8VRSlwH - ＊雑誌エコノミスト、11月の上院議員選挙の分析
民主党が過半数支配を奪還する可能性67%
The Economist@TheEconomist・8時間
We built a statistical model to estimate the probabilities of each party
controlling the Senate. It currently gives the Democrats a 67% chance of
flipping the upper house
Why the Democrats are our narrow favourites to win the Senate
The Economist’s new statistical model gives them a 67% chance of flipping
the upper house of Congress. That would open a world of possibilities
economist.com
| - 【政治経済】令和床屋談義 町の噂その759
355 ：日出づる処の名無し[sage]：2020/09/24(木) 04:30:54.48 ID:x8VRSlwH - >>354
Nate Silverも、民主党がホワイトハウスと上下院過半数支配を得る「trifecta」の
可能性を60-65%という
Nate Silver@NateSilver538・20時間
This is preliminary and subject to change but we're somewhere in the ballpark of:
60-65%:D trifecta
10-15%: Biden + D House + R Senate
5%:Trump + D Congress
10%: Trump + R Senate + D House
10%: GOP Trifecta
| - 【政治経済】令和床屋談義 町の噂その759
375 ：日出づる処の名無し[sage]：2020/09/24(木) 22:20:45.82 ID:x8VRSlwH - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-in-person-college-reopenings-could-be-affecting-covid-19-spread-one-study-linked-3-000-cases-a-day-to-campuses-11600890869
New study estimates link between in-person college reopenings and COVID-19 cases
Last Updated: Sept. 24, 2020 at 9:06 a.m. ET
First Published: Sept. 23, 2020 at 3:54 p.m. ET By Jillian Berman
大学の対面授業の再開とCOVID-19の新規発生の関連を調査した医学論文が公表され、
再開は新コロナウイルス新規患者と深く関わると推測
A paper by an economist at the University of North Carolina at Greensboro, an
epidemiologist at Indiana University, and a higher education expert at Davidson
College (among others), found that colleges reopening for in-person instruction
was associated with 3,000 new cases of COVID-19 per day in the U.S. The researchers
estimated a 95% confidence interval for the findings of between roughly 1,000 and
5,000 cases.
“These colleges that chose to open for face-to-face instruction, they’re
contributing to county case counts,” said Martin Andersen, an assistant professor of
economics at UNC-Greensboro and one of the authors of the study.
再開は一日あたり3000件（95%確率で1000〜5000）の新規患者発生につながる
“We would love to be able to take this result and say ‘OK campuses, do this and you’ll
be able to protect your community.’ We’re not in a position to do that yet,” Andersen
said. “We are in a position to say ‘be thoughtful, be careful.’ We’ve shown you some
of the costs of being a face-to-face institution.” As colleges consider their plans for
the spring semester, for example, Andersen said, they can weigh these potential costs of
in-person instruction against the benefits.
| - 【政治経済】令和床屋談義 町の噂その759
376 ：日出づる処の名無し[sage]：2020/09/24(木) 22:33:12.95 ID:x8VRSlwH - ＊英国政府の新規の新コロナウイルス規制
マスク必要な処でしない場合に£200（27000円程度）の罰金
結婚式の集会規制とか・・
Financial Times@FinancialTimes・1時間
The new Covid-19 restrictions in England:
?? Pubs and restaurants will shut at 10pm
?? People failing to wear a mask will pay £200 fines
??People are encouraged to work from home
??Weddings and receptions are limited to 15 people
Read more:
| - 【政治経済】令和床屋談義 町の噂その759
377 ：日出づる処の名無し[sage]：2020/09/24(木) 22:49:02.79 ID:x8VRSlwH - The Economist@TheEconomist・2時間
The Economist's US Senate forecast will be updated daily. Bookmark it to keep
tabs on the data throughout the campaign:
https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/senate
Right now, our model thinks the Democrats are likely to win a majority in the Senate.
| - 【政治経済】令和床屋談義 町の噂その759
378 ：日出づる処の名無し[sage]：2020/09/24(木) 22:53:07.37 ID:x8VRSlwH - ＊雑誌エコノミストの大統領選の情報サイト（毎日更新）
https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president
Forecasting the US elections
Last updated 2 hours ago
Right now, our model thinks Joe Biden is very likely to beat Donald Trump in the
electoral college.
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